Market DataTreasure Valley, Idaho — May 2026
The most recent IMLS data reveals two distinct markets operating within the Treasure Valley — and what each means for buyers and sellers.
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Dennis Fomin
Fomin & Company · Associate Broker, GRI, RSPS · May 2026
Quick Answer
What is the Treasure Valley real estate market doing in March 2026?
Ada County closed 810 single-family homes in March 2026, up 19.1% year-over-year. The median sales price was $540,000, down 4.3% from March 2025. Homes averaged 55 days on market, up 19.6% year-over-year. Canyon County showed different dynamics with sales volume also increasing but pricing behavior diverging from Ada County. The two counties are operating as distinct micro-markets.
Dennis Fomin — Founder, Fomin & Company. The March data tells a nuanced story that valley-wide averages obscure. Ada County is seeing more sales at lower prices. Canyon County is seeing growth with different price dynamics. Where you are buying or selling matters more than ever.
March 2026 Treasure Valley Market Snapshot
810Ada County single-family closings in March — up 19.1% YoY
$540KAda County median sales price — down 4.3% from March 2025
55 daysAverage days on market in Ada County — up 19.6% YoY
452Canyon County closings in March — up 14.7% YoY
Ada County: What the Numbers Show
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Sales volume surged — buyers are active810 closings in March represents a 19.1% year-over-year increase. Spring 2026 is attracting significantly more buyer activity than spring 2025.
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Median price softened — not crashedThe $540,000 median is 4.3% below March 2025. This is moderation from the peak, not a collapse. Values remain historically strong by any pre-2020 measure.
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Days on market rising — buyers have more time55 days on market — up 19.6% from last year — means buyers are no longer forced to decide within 48 hours. This is a meaningful quality-of-life improvement for buyers.
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Well-priced homes still moveThe data average includes homes that sat — and homes that sold immediately. Correctly priced, well-presented homes in strong locations continue to sell quickly. The average is not the whole story.
Ada vs. Canyon County: The Key Divergence
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Ada County: More sales, softer pricesHigher volume with slight price softening reflects a market absorbing more inventory than during the 2021-2022 peak. Buyers have marginally more options and slightly more negotiating room.
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Canyon County: Growing differentlyCanyon County — Nampa, Caldwell, Middleton — is showing its own growth pattern driven by affordability demand and active new construction. The per-square-foot value proposition remains the strongest in the valley.
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Submarket analysis matters more than county averagesA $540K median for all of Ada County includes a $650K Eagle home and a $440K east Meridian resale. Understanding the specific submarket you are buying or selling in is more valuable than the county-level number.
What the Spring Market Means Going Forward
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Spring inventory is risingNew listings are up 43% week-over-week in Ada County as of late March. This is the seasonal surge that gives buyers more options — and means sellers face more competition than in January.
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Buyers: more room to negotiate than 2021, less than 2019The current market is not a buyers market by historical standards. But buyers can request inspections, negotiate repairs, and take reasonable time on decisions in ways that were impossible at the 2021 peak.
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Sellers: pricing discipline is the whole gameIn a market where buyers have options and days on market are rising, overpriced launches sit. Correctly priced homes in good condition still generate showing activity and offers.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Treasure Valley real estate market slowing down in 2026?+
It is more balanced than the 2021-2022 peak, not slow. Sales volume is up significantly year-over-year. Days on market are longer and prices have moderated slightly. This is a healthier, more sustainable market pace than the pandemic peak.
What is the median home price in Ada County in 2026?+
The March 2026 Ada County median sales price for single-family homes was $540,000, representing a 4.3% decrease from March 2025.
How long does it take to sell a house in Meridian Idaho in 2026?+
The Ada County average days on market in March 2026 was 55 days. Well-priced homes in strong Meridian locations sell faster. Overpriced homes account for the longer end of the average.
Is Canyon County or Ada County a better real estate investment?+
Different investors optimize for different things. Ada County offers higher appreciation potential and stronger resale liquidity. Canyon County offers better cash-flow math and more affordable entry points. The right answer depends on your investment thesis.
Are home prices going down in Boise in 2026?+
Ada County median prices softened 4.3% year-over-year in March 2026. This is moderation from a peak, not a significant decline. Prices remain historically strong.
Want a Submarket-Specific Market Analysis?
Dennis Fomin — Founder, Fomin & Company. Associate Broker, GRI, RSPS. Free 2026 This Is Boise Area Guide.
- —Ada County submarket breakdown — not just the county average
- —Canyon County pricing and investment analysis
- —Current inventory and days-on-market for your specific target area
- —Seller pricing consultation based on the most recent comparable sales
Serving Boise, Meridian, Eagle, Nampa, Caldwell & the Treasure Valley.
Summary
The March 2026 data shows a Treasure Valley market that is active, balanced, and diverging between Ada and Canyon Counties in meaningful ways. The headline numbers — more sales, softer prices, longer days on market — are all true. So is the fact that well-positioned properties in strong locations are still generating strong outcomes.
The Treasure Valley market in spring 2026 rewards preparation and punishes assumptions. The buyers and sellers with accurate, submarket-level data consistently outperform those working from valley-wide averages.
